02 · Math
Martingale and other betting systems on crash: a simulated test
We simulated 20,000 crash sessions each with flat betting, martingale, d'Alembert and Paroli. None beat the house edge. Here are the results and why.
9 Nov 20263 tables
Guides from The Multiplier Desk
Crash games, by the numbers.
Plain-English guides to how crash games work: the multiplier curve, bust probabilities, expected value, betting systems and provably fair verification. Every figure is worked through and re-computed.
Every guide ships with
- Worked example✓
- Data table or checklist✓
- Math re-checked✓
- Fictional examples labelled✓
- Operator rankingsNone
Latest
03 · Fairness
How provably fair crash works: hash chains and verifying a round
Provably fair crash uses a pre-computed hash chain so every bust point is fixed in advance and checkable afterwards. Here is how it works, with a round verified step by step.
9 Nov 20261 tables
01 · Basics
How crash games work: the multiplier curve and the bust point
A crash round is a multiplier that rises from 1.00x until a pre-set bust point. Here is how the curve, the bust point and the cash-out actually fit together.
9 Nov 20262 tables
02 · Math
Crash odds math: the chance a round reaches any multiplier
The chance a crash round reaches x is about (1 − edge) ÷ x. Here is where the formula comes from, a full odds table at 1% and 3% edge, and how to use it.
9 Nov 20262 tables
02 · Math
Auto-cashout targets and expected value: why no target beats the edge
Every auto-cashout target in a standard crash game has the same expected value: minus the house edge. The target only changes how bumpy the ride is. Here is the math.
9 Nov 20262 tables
Topics
01BasicsHow a crash round works: the rising multiplier, the bust point, cash-outs and the rules to read first.102Odds & mathBust probabilities, expected value, variance and betting systems, worked through with numbers you can check.303Provably fairHash chains, seeds and how to verify a crash round yourself, step by step.1
The guide index
| Guide | Topic | Words | Tables | FAQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale and other betting systems on crash: a simulated test | Math | 1029 | 3 | Yes |
| How provably fair crash works: hash chains and verifying a round | Fairness | 1074 | 1 | Yes |
| How crash games work: the multiplier curve and the bust point | Basics | 1101 | 2 | Yes |
| Crash odds math: the chance a round reaches any multiplier | Math | 945 | 2 | Yes |
| Auto-cashout targets and expected value: why no target beats the edge | Math | 1043 | 2 | Yes |
What this site is — and isn't
We explain how crash games work and how to check the numbers yourself. We don't rank sites, name operators or promise wins. No cash-out target or betting system removes the house edge. Crash games are gambling: you should expect to lose the money you put in. 18+ only. Responsible gambling