02 · Math
Martingale and other betting systems on crash: a simulated test
We simulated 20,000 crash sessions each with flat betting, martingale, d'Alembert and Paroli. None beat the house edge. Here are the results and why.
9 Nov 20263 tables
Topic
Odds & math
Bust probabilities, expected value, variance and betting systems, worked through with numbers you can check.
3guides
02 · Math
Crash odds math: the chance a round reaches any multiplier
The chance a crash round reaches x is about (1 − edge) ÷ x. Here is where the formula comes from, a full odds table at 1% and 3% edge, and how to use it.
9 Nov 20262 tables
02 · Math
Auto-cashout targets and expected value: why no target beats the edge
Every auto-cashout target in a standard crash game has the same expected value: minus the house edge. The target only changes how bumpy the ride is. Here is the math.
9 Nov 20262 tables